Applied Economics Education & Extension

an AAEA Journal

Agricultural and Applied Economics Association

Research Article

Avoid Falling from the Enrollment Cliff: Finding Treasures from Rural Areas May Be a Solution for Some Universities

Kuan-Ming Huang(a) and Joshua G. Maples(a)
(a)Mississippi State University

JEL Codes: A21, A22, I23, I25, R00
Keywords: enrollment cliff, NCAA, region, rural, student recruitment, urban

First Published Online: May 13, 2026

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Abstract

Recent declines in college-age populations have raised “enrollment cliff” concerns among universities. This article compares age-group distributions across levels of urbanicity (metropolitan, micropolitan, and rural towns), regions, and NCAA conferences. It shows, across regions and most NCAA conferences (Mountain West, Big Ten, Big 12, and Pac-12), rural town populations are facing more moderate decrease than metropolitan and micropolitan areas. Given these trends, although rural recruitment is often more costly on a per student basis, it could be a worthwhile investment for universities to mitigate enrollment challenges, especially for institutions that have already saturated their urban recruitment pools. Targeted scholarships and financial aid can help attract rural students, and early successes may generate momentum by encouraging additional students from rural communities to apply. For institutions with more limited financial resources, identifying external scholarship opportunities and building one-on-one connections with prospective students, particularly to address concerns about transitioning to large campuses and urban environments, can also enhance recruitment outcomes. Investing in rural recruitment is especially relevant for institutions with land-grant missions, and given rural students’ backgrounds and interests, it may be particularly beneficial for agribusiness, agricultural economics, and other departments within colleges of agriculture.

About the Authors: Kuan-Ming Huang (Corresponding Author Email: kmh1169@msstate.edu) is an Assistant Professor and Joshua G. Maples is an Associate Professor in the Department of Agricultural Economics at Mississippi State University.

Acknowledgments: The authors thank the editor, Jason Bergtold, and the anonymous reviewers for their insightful suggestions, which helped to significantly improve the article. The authors acknowledge the Department of Agricultural Economics at Mississippi State University for covering publication costs of this article and thank former graduate student Seth Green for his assistance with data collection and cleaning.

Copyright is governed under Creative Commons CC BY-NC-SA

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Strengthening Macroeconomics Training to Prepare Agribusiness Students for a Changing Economic Landscape
Gulcan Onel, Jennifer Clark, Caleb Stair, Jared Gars, and James Seale Jr.

Avoid Falling from the Enrollment Cliff: Finding Treasures from Rural Areas May Be a Solution for Some Universities
Kuan-Ming Huang and Joshua G. Maples

Skills and Capabilities Needed for Agribusiness Graduates
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Technical Skills and Their Roles in Agribusiness Supply Chain Management Education
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