Applied Economics Education & Extension

an AAEA Journal

Agricultural and Applied Economics Association

The Downside Risks from Export Market Concentration: The Case of Canadian Canola

Farzana Shirin(a), William Ridley(b), and Guillaume Lhermie(a)
(a)University of Calgary, (b)University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign

JEL Codes: F13, Q17, F10
Keywords: biofuels policy, Canada, canola, China, trade retaliation

First Published Online: April 15, 2026

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Abstract

Canada’s multi-billion-dollar canola industry faces headwinds from Chinese tariffs and uncertainty in Canada–US trade relations. We analyze the economic fallout of ongoing trade disputes and other current market and policy challenges facing Canadian canola, challenges which are also relevant for other export-reliant agricultural commodities facing trade retaliation.

About the Authors: Farzana Shirin (farzana.shirin@ucalgary.ca) is a Postdoctoral Associate, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB. Corresponding author: William Ridley (Corresponding Author Email: wridley@illinois.edu) is an Associate Professor, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL. Guillaume Lhermie (guillaume.lhermie@ucalgary.ca) is a Professor, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB.

Copyright is governed under Creative Commons CC BY-NC-SA

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